Initial Inside Elections/Gonzales 2018 Senate ratings (user search)
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  Initial Inside Elections/Gonzales 2018 Senate ratings (search mode)
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Author Topic: Initial Inside Elections/Gonzales 2018 Senate ratings  (Read 6065 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,030
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« on: January 19, 2017, 04:30:53 PM »

Why people think Stabenow is Safe when her state just voted for Trump is beyond me. She's favored, sure, but not Safe.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,030
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: January 19, 2017, 07:14:15 PM »

For the record, I'd vote for the Republican candidate over Joe Manchin. Enough already with this guy.
This is dumb.



Joe Manchin is basically a moderate republican. If you're a democrat who wants a caucus that is more ideologically pure than it currently is, it only makes sense that you would seek to kick him out.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,030
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #2 on: January 19, 2017, 07:21:12 PM »

Mr. Dragon ,

Do you really think all elections will exactly match 2016 forever? No midterm recently has matched the previous presidential election well so there is no reason to think 2018 will be just like 2016.

Sure we are polarized but candidates, level of office, campaigns, circumstances and climate do matter.

No, I don't. But outside of someone who is extremely popular (which Stabenow isn't), no senate democrat in a state that a republican presidential candidate just carried starts out completely safe, and no senate republican in a state that a democratic presidential candidate just carried is completely safe. (And that's what a Safe category should mean - completely safe)
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