Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 31,934
Political Matrix E: -1.42, S: -0.52
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« on: December 04, 2016, 01:16:50 AM » |
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Virginia really isn't moving at all politically these days - it's a state that prefers democrats, yes, but they often underperform expectations and it's never a landslide. Obama was supposed to win by double digits in the state in '08, he only won by 6. McAuliffe was supposed to tar and feather Cuccinelli, but he only won by 3 in the end. Warner was supposed to win by at least 15 points, he won by under a point. Clinton was supposed to win by around 10 points, she won by 5. What this probably means is that while the state will vote democrat in most cases, it is not sold on the party - otherwise it would start voting democratic by double digits - and there is such a thing as the "right republican" for the state. I think Comstock or Rigell would have a good shot of defeating Kaine. Fiorina? Probably not, but who can really say for certain. The old rules of politics don't exist anymore, even in states that went for Clinton.
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