Why is Hillary Clinton so politically inept? (user search)
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  Why is Hillary Clinton so politically inept? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why is Hillary Clinton so politically inept?  (Read 1120 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« on: November 10, 2016, 10:37:39 PM »

Clinton is addicted to the blue wall theory and couldn't come to grips with the idea that Trump might break through it. Remember how her first order of general election TV ads didn't include Pennsylvania, which (Just as I predicted (one of the things I did get right this year)) ended up being the state that decided the election? Sure, she spent money on it later on, and her superpacs spent money there, but defending it through campaign events never was a high priority of her campaign, and the campaign always treated it like an afterthought: Oh of course we'll win there!. Of course Wisconsin and Michigan received virtually no attention.

Clinton's basic strategy for the election was: Grab Kaine to lock up Virginia, Grab the hispanic vote to lock up Colorado and Nevada, and then you can go chasing after Arizona, Georgia, Texas, and Utah to get your YUGE mandate - even if Trump somehow sweeps IA, OH, FL, NC, NH, and ME-2 while you're not looking, he can't get to 270 without winning MI, WI, or PA - which he's obviously not going to do because they haven't voted Rep since the 80s and are therefore part of an impenetrable blue wall! We have a 100% chance of winning! YAHOO!!!!! - when in reality land, Trump was figuring out just how to break through that blue wall - in all of MI, WI, and PA. Bottom line - if you tell yourself your victory is inevitable on day 1, you're going to lose. Just like the Republican western "red wall" of the 50s (or so) to the 80s, any wall will be broken through eventually. No political alignment of the country is permanent.

The path for the dems in 2020 is not to chase after Georgia and Texas - they're nothing but pipe-dreams. Hillary carried Cobb, Gwinett, and Henry counties in Georgia and still lost by 5! In Texas, she actually fell behind Obama's '08 performance in terms of % of the vote earned. Simply put, neither is happening any time soon. The path for the dems in 2020 is to defend MN, MI, WI, and PA like hell, while also going after Arizona (which was legitimately competitive this year). Leave Georgia and Texas in the dust. Just forget about it. I'm completely serious.
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