Republican Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) (user search)
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  Republican Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET)  (Read 3253 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« on: June 07, 2016, 09:08:52 AM »
Delegate allocation for today:

NJ/SD/MT: WTA
CA: 13 delegates WTA by statewide vote, 159 delegates WTA by CD (3 per CD)
NM: Proportional by statewide vote. TRUMP will likely get between 14 and 19 of the 24 delegates.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2016, 04:34:39 PM »

I'm thinking South Dakota.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #2 on: June 07, 2016, 07:38:34 PM »
Trump wins NJ, gets 51 delegates.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #3 on: June 07, 2016, 08:05:27 PM »
Trump wins SD, gets 29 delegates.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #4 on: June 07, 2016, 08:32:13 PM »
Trump has won in NM. Waiting for word on the delegate allocation.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #5 on: June 07, 2016, 09:04:33 PM »
Trump getting 20/24 delegates in NM.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #6 on: June 07, 2016, 09:41:26 PM »
Trump wins Montana, gets 27 delegates.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #7 on: June 07, 2016, 10:24:27 PM »
Trump wins California. That only gets him 13 delegates though. I'll start calling the other 159 once we get up to 10% or so statewide.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #8 on: June 07, 2016, 10:49:21 PM »
With 76% in for NM, Cruz is at 13%. He might, might just barely make it to 15%, we'll have to see.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #9 on: June 07, 2016, 11:07:38 PM »
We've got a pretty good sample of CA, a little bit from everywhere even though its only 1398 of the 22k precincts in the state. So the first round of CD calls are in order. All the results I'm getting are from http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2016/by_cd/CA_GOP_0607_VD.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

Trump is projected as the winner in the following districts: 1,2,3,4,10,16,20,21,22,24,26,36,41,49,50,51,52,53
Trump is leading, but not yet completely safe, in the following districts: 5,6,8,9,11,18,30,38,39,45,46,47,48

Just to be on the safe side, I'm not calling anything listed as under 1% reporting. Don't want to have to retract anything.

So that's a win in 18/53 districts so far. So 3x18=54+13(Statewide WTA)=67/172 delegates so far. Number should be much higher at the end of the night.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #10 on: June 07, 2016, 11:20:28 PM »
Second round of CD Calls:

Trump can add the following to his arsenal: Districts 5,7,23,25

So a win in 22/53 districts so far. 79/172 delegates.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #11 on: June 07, 2016, 11:36:14 PM »
Trump adds in districts 27,29,32,39,40. 27/53 districts, 94/172 delegates.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #12 on: June 08, 2016, 12:23:14 AM »
10% of the vote to go in New Mexico, and Cruz only at 13.2%. Things look pretty dire for him to get a delegate.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #13 on: June 08, 2016, 12:41:36 AM »
Adding in a bunch more CA districts for Trump: 14,18,30,33,42,43,44,45,46,47,48

So that brings him up to 38/53 districts, 127/172 delegates.

Uncalled Districts: 6,8,9,11,12,13,15,17,19,28,31,34,35,37,38
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #14 on: June 08, 2016, 02:00:28 AM »
^^ We basically have Alaska results by county. See NYT.

Also adding in three more CA districts for TRUMP: 9, 12, 38. So 41/53 districts, 136/172 delegates.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #15 on: June 08, 2016, 10:37:41 AM »
And CA Districts 6,8,11,13,15,17,19,28,31,34,35,37 can now be projected for Trump. That brings him up to all 53 districts and all 172 delegates in the state. It also gets him to all 303 delegates that were allocated last night.
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