Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 32,007
Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52
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« on: May 03, 2016, 01:28:17 AM » |
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Argument against - Except for a squeaker in Missouri, Cruz won surrounding states - Colorado, Wyoming, Kansas, and Iowa, mostly by large margins. Nebraska is also heavily rural and has roughly the same evangelical % as Iowa and Idaho, which Cruz also won.
Argument for - Cruz will have negative momentum after his likely loss in Indiana and the general sentiment will be that he should get out of the race, which will lose him votes. Colorado, Wyoming, Kansas, and Iowa were all caucus states while Nebraska is a primary, and two of them relied on undemocratic state conventions. The only thing roughly comparable is Missouri, which TRUMP narrowly won. There has also been basically no polling in Nebraska (Ben Carson was leading in the last one), so no one really knows what's going on.
Discuss.
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