Democratic MI/MS election results thread (first results @8pm ET)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Mississippi colleges are on Spring Break right now, a huge blow to Sanders, who was already barely going to get any votes.

Being expected to at least hit 40% according to most polling is an interesting defintion of "barely going to get any votes".

Sanders is going to hit 40% at Mississippi?
Are you drunk, stoned or both?

Read it as Michigan. Post deleted.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I assume we won't get any early results or exit poll from MI until polls close everywhere?

We'll get exit poll data before then, just not the horserace question. As for the actual vote, a good 10% of the vote came in between 8 and 9 pm in 2014.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I have a feeling this could end up like Massachusetts - Clinton was supposed to romp there, and it ended up being very close. That said, I think she will have a decisive win, at least 52 to 48.

No one expected Clinton to landslide in Massachusetts. Her biggest lead in the late polls was +11, and I'm not sure how many people actually believed that one.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

+11 is what the YouGov poll has for Michigan. I'm not sure why 538 has that silly Mitchell poll weighted so high.

The weighting appears to be based solely on release time.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Com'on Sanders!!! Surprise us with a win!!!

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

It's annoying we're going to have to wait another full hour just because 4 HP counties in Michigan have their polls close at 9.

No results? Won't some trickle in?

I think for exit polls. I could be wrong though.

Icespear, Michigan starts reporting before 9. We'll get 5-15% of the vote.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

B-b-but Decision Desk and Nate Silver never get it wrong, guys!!!!!!1111!!!

Atlas was already Majority Anti-Silver. And hopefully this teaches DD to not make quick calls anymore. It's pretty obvious their luck was going to run out eventually after near mishaps in Virginia and Kentucky.