SUSA-GA: Trump beats Clinton (user search)
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  SUSA-GA: Trump beats Clinton (search mode)
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Author Topic: SUSA-GA: Trump beats Clinton  (Read 5043 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 32,031
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« on: December 06, 2015, 08:22:45 PM »
Quote from: President Griffin on December 06, 2015, 03:32:08 PM
Any poll that doesn't show a near dead-even race in Georgia at this point is garbage. Why? Polls start off with candidates running neck and neck due to the polarity of the state (with a slight R advantage, usually) until the "independents" in the final two weeks "make up their minds" and break heavily - usually 3/1 - to the Republican.

Trajectory of the 2014 Senate Race /=/ trajectory of a normal race in GA.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,031
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: December 06, 2015, 08:58:36 PM »
« Edited: December 06, 2015, 09:00:13 PM by Wulfric »
Quote from: Flo on December 06, 2015, 08:47:58 PM
Quote from: Wulfric on December 06, 2015, 08:22:45 PM
Quote from: President Griffin on December 06, 2015, 03:32:08 PM
Any poll that doesn't show a near dead-even race in Georgia at this point is garbage. Why? Polls start off with candidates running neck and neck due to the polarity of the state (with a slight R advantage, usually) until the "independents" in the final two weeks "make up their minds" and break heavily - usually 3/1 - to the Republican.

Trajectory of the 2014 Senate Race /=/ trajectory of a normal race in GA.

But that is the trajectory of a normal race in Georgia, isn't it?

SUSA had Obama 6 points behind Gingrich and 7 points behind Romney in Dec. 2011. Mason Dixon had Obama much further behind at the same time.
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9f7c5d5d-4d53-4675-af4b-65290e7797d2
http://jacksonville.com/news/florida/2011-12-18/story/georgia-republicans-prefer-newt-gingrich-poll-shows
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