was 1952 a realigning election? (user search)
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  was 1952 a realigning election? (search mode)
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Author Topic: was 1952 a realigning election?  (Read 4863 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« on: September 18, 2015, 12:36:06 AM »

2000 was the last realigning election. Some big things that occurred that year:

- Beginning with 2000, no democrat, not even a southern democrat, can win a southern state. Between 1972 and 1996 inclusive, the rule was that southern democrats (Clinton, Carter) would always win some southern states if they were winning nationally, but no other democrats ever could.

- Between 1972 and 1996, TX was a Lean R state at the presidential level outside of the '72 and '84 landslides.  Beginning in 2000, it started to go overwhelmingly republican, even in big democratic waves (Even Obama '08 only managed 44%).

- Illinois went from being a republican pipe dream in the 90s to completely uncompetitive.

- Florida turned into a swing state after being something democrats could only win in landslides during the 80s and 90s.

- WV went from Safe D to Likely R in one cycle.

- Still in effect limits on Republican Senate Potential were imposed - In 2000, Republican Senators in Washington, Michigan, Minnesota, and Delaware were defeated - outside of the freak occurence in 2002 (when the Democrats were forced to institute Mondale as their nominee in MN at the last minute and lost narrowly), Republicans have never won a Senate race in any of those states this century


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