Potential Democratic Governor losses would be offset by probable wins in states like MD and IL. Also, MN is not going to flip.
Ill bet N is more likely to flip than IL or MD. Unless Lisa Madigan runs, Rauner will probably win in 2018. She cant run as long as Daddy is the House Speaker. He might retire by 2018 and then she can run.
Lol, no, MN is nowhere near more likely to flip than those two, especially IL. You obviously don't realize how weak the MN Republican bench is.
Also, the strongest of the Minnesota bench are tucked in safe house districts/the world of retirement and won't come out. The republican leadership begged, begged, and begged Paulsen/Kline/Pawlenty/Coleman to run for Senate or Governor, but they all steadfastly refused, and so the party ended up with a little known Businessman (McFadden) and a Tea Party County Commissioner (Johnson). Honestly, the only guy who actually tried to run last year that MIGHT have won was Seifert, and even he would have been a significant underdog.
Besides, Rauner's honeymoon is already over, Hogan will probably be the next Ehrlich (win surprisingly one election, and lose narrowly the next) because Maryland is well ... Maryland, and Dayton is still fairly popular (no term limits in MN).
