Cruz announces he's running for president

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Monarch, Time to admit your wrong prediction: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=207642.0

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Of course, Cruz's chances at the nomination are pathetic (the latest poll out of TX shows him leading by just 1 point in the primary) but he wants it really bad.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Anyone who announces before October deserves to lose.

LOLOLOLOL

Obama, who had no primary challenger waiting in the wings, announced his reelection run in April 2011. Every 2012 candidate, yes, even Rick Perry, announced before October of the year before the election. So did every 2008 candidate, yes, even Fred Thompson.

So, by this, you're saying that some obscure third partier should win. LOLOLOLOL.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I think you guys are seriously underestimating Cruz. Of all the candidates with a chance, save maybe Paul, he has the most devoted supporters.

He probably won't get the nomination, but yeah he should have some consistent support levels. Maybe 2008 Huckabee would be a good comparison.

That would mean Cruz winning the Iowa caucus, which would be a terrible event in the history of this nation.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

This cycle's Fred Thompson

Thompson: Late-Entry, Former Senator, Large crowd of supporters begging him to enter, not seen as a a 'toxic' candidate

Cruz: Early-Entry, Current Senator, loyal base is looking fairly small, seen as extremely unelectable

Not really similar at all.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

We have a website:

http://www.tedcruz.org

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Monarch, Time to admit your wrong prediction: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=207642.0

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Of course, Cruz's chances at the nomination are pathetic (the latest poll out of TX shows him leading by just 1 point in the primary) but he wants it really bad.

Why does the poll being for the primary make it worse? His lead is presumably bigger against Hillary than it is against Walker or Bush in a primary.

Well, yeah, but if you're only leading by 1 point in your home state's primary, that's very bad news, as recent republican nominees have generally enjoyed strong support in their home state during the primary. Mitt Romney, John McCain, and George W. Bush all enjoyed double digit victories in their home states (MA,UT,TX) in the primaries.