NV-Gravis: Reid trails Laxalt, Krolicki. (user search)
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  NV-Gravis: Reid trails Laxalt, Krolicki. (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV-Gravis: Reid trails Laxalt, Krolicki.  (Read 4710 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,883
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« on: February 27, 2015, 03:34:58 PM »

If Reid can't even lead Laxalt in polls, he's looking quite dead.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,883
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: February 28, 2015, 09:07:06 AM »

As I've noted elsewhere, the reid turnout machine doesn't exist. Reid is unpopular and will run behind Hillary in Nevada, no question about it. He just has to hope that Hillary wins NV by enough to carry him over the finish line. Here's some rough early estimates.

Reid:
vs. Angle - Reid runs ~1 point behind Hillary (ex. If Hillary gets 55%, Reid will get about 54%).
vs. Row Officer - Reid runs ~3 points behind Hillary.
vs. Beers/Roberson - Reid runs ~5 points behind Hillary.
vs. Krolicki/Hutchinson - Reid runs ~7 points behind Hillary.
vs. Sandoval - Reid runs AT LEAST 11 points behind Hillary.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,883
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #2 on: March 02, 2015, 12:25:34 AM »

I really hope Angle doesn't try to run for the U.S. House. She's in Reno, which is in Mark Amodei's district. If she tried to primary him, and actually won the primary, the district is R+5, meaning if Angle runs an O.K. campaign and it isn't a democratic wave, she might actually win.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,883
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #3 on: March 02, 2015, 12:39:03 AM »

^

Because Amodei's one of the more moderate members of congress, and Angle's a tea partier through and through. He's even near the top of republican shortlists for preferred Harry Reid challengers (with a note saying "refusing to run").
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