Shapiro honestly doesn't seem that interested in the position because it's an uphill battle but Sestak was very moderate and Carney will be to his right. The Philly Dems are only semi-serious candidates. If they want someone sufficiently liberal, Shapiro may be the way to go. I can imagine it being easier for him to fundraise (compared to Pawlowski) since he's from MontCo in just as big an executive role.
I'm not sure why the Establishment would be that upset of someone like Specter who joined the party just to win. He turned into a joke. If Crist couldn't beat Rick Scott, I don't know how Specter would have pulled it out, even as an incumbent. He upset everyone and Sestak had wide appeal.
Very true on your second post though, lol.
Specter joined the democratic party because he was the biggest RINO in the Senate and was publicly asked to switch by Biden and other prominent democrats. Given the political climate of 2010, he almost certainly would have beaten Sestak in a GE.