How do Dems gain net House seats this election? (user search)
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  How do Dems gain net House seats this election? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How do Dems gain net House seats this election?  (Read 559 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 32,036
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« on: August 21, 2014, 11:11:43 PM »

Do people think Dems will gain seats? I haven't really seen that. Most people seem to predict a single digit Republican gain in seats.

Are these the same people that expected Dems to lease the Senate in 2012?
No. The people indicating that a small republican gain is more likely than a small democratic gain include such folks as Mr. Rothenberg and Mr. Sabato, neither of which predicted the democrats would lose the senate in 2012, although both felt the democrats would end up with less seats than they actually did.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,036
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: August 22, 2014, 04:40:56 PM »

Do people think Dems will gain seats? I haven't really seen that. Most people seem to predict a single digit Republican gain in seats.

Are these the same people that expected Dems to lease the Senate in 2012?
No. The people indicating that a small republican gain is more likely than a small democratic gain include such folks as Mr. Rothenberg and Mr. Sabato, neither of which predicted the democrats would lose the senate in 2012, although both felt the democrats would end up with less seats than they actually did.

So they were wrong last time too. Thanks!
As was almost the entire world on the exact outcome of the 2012 senate elections. Hietkamp's victory was a surprise to almost everyone, Tester's win was considered an upset (particularly in terms of the margin of victory), and the few who managed to predict both wins were equally surprised by Heller's win in NV.
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