NH-Sen: Scott Brown's flirtation (user search)
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  NH-Sen: Scott Brown's flirtation (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH-Sen: Scott Brown's flirtation  (Read 22698 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« on: July 07, 2014, 06:44:33 PM »

No. We'll see the final result in November, although Shaheen has about a 73% chance of winning at this point. I personally hope Brown can make a comeback, but his new state seems to feel quite differently so far.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 31,980
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: July 07, 2014, 08:01:59 PM »

Shaheen is no pushover Brown thought she was weak but she is an experienced pol and a far more skilled politician than Brown. I think he severely underestimated her abilities as a candidate he will end up losing badly and embarrassing himself.

I don't think he'll lose by any sort of wide margin, I think it'll end up around Shaheen's 2008 margin (7 points), give or take a point or two.

Brown thought Shaheen would be an easy target because she's from a state that is far more purple than MA and because Shaheen is one of the least bipartisan senators, voting with the majority of democrats about 99% of the time.  But apparently her state doesn't care whether she's bipartisan or not, or perhaps they just don't see a former massachusetts senator who lost by 8 despite having a 59% approval rating as being all that better than Shaheen. Republicans should have gone with someone like Judd Gregg or perhaps even Sununu again.... This race hasn't been polled much by reputable companies, and if this is to be another 2010 perhaps Shaheen could go down, but under the political climate of today she seems to be okay.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,980
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #2 on: July 07, 2014, 11:02:40 PM »

any chance Scott Brown comes out with a statement that says "tee hee, just kidding! I'm not really going to run fro Senate in somebody else's state." ?  Tongue
No chance at all. This is a good thing for republicans, as Brown is consistently polling better against Shaheen than the other republican candidates are (Former NH Sen. Robert Smith, Former NH State Sen. Jim Rubens, and Perennial Candidate Andy Martin).
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