Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 30,322
Political Matrix E: -6.52, S: -3.91
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« on: November 04, 2020, 12:52:07 PM » |
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Trump will lose, and that is still a bright spot, even if it's not the resounding rejection we were hoping for (and that it should have been.) The trends in AZ/GA are real, and even if Republicans hold both GA seats this year, clearly it's only a matter of time before at least one of those seats flip. While TX didn't happen, it's probably going to end up within 5%, and so it remains a ticking time bomb for Republicans, especially if they can't keep the ground Trump gained among Latinos. Also, while IA/OH are definitely gone, MI/PA/WI are clearly still winnable for Democrats, since they're probably all going for Biden despite Republicans showing up just about as much as Democrats. They're not states Democrats can take for granted (and it's a very good thing Biden didn't take MI/WI for granted this time), but they probably remain competitive, especially given that Trump saw further bleeding in the WOW counties (especially Ozaukee/Waukesha), despite some claiming that he would definitely do better there. I'd also say that for all the talk of blue states like OR/RI/VT becoming competitive soon for Republicans, tonight didn't suggest that those states are headed that way at all.
Now, these are reasons why Democrats are still viable in the future. That doesn't mean we aren't in for a disappointing few years first, or that we won't see some of these states vote Republican over the next couple of years.
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