Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 30,328
Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91
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« on: October 21, 2020, 06:13:39 PM » |
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No Toss-Up option, since we're getting pretty close.
I'll go with Tilt D. Republicans have a narrow but very plausible path to holding their majority. Democrats have a high ceiling, but are slight underdogs in many races and are probably only clearly favored in enough seats to get to 48 or 49. I think it's more likely than not that Democrats at least win a couple of very close races (especially in this kind of environment), but if things break toward Republicans at the last minute, it's not a given.
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