IA - Monmouth: TIED (high turnout: Greenfield +2%, low turnout: Greenfield +6%) (user search)
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  IA - Monmouth: TIED (high turnout: Greenfield +2%, low turnout: Greenfield +6%) (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA - Monmouth: TIED (high turnout: Greenfield +2%, low turnout: Greenfield +6%)  (Read 1301 times)
Xing
xingkerui
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Posts: 30,318
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Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« on: October 21, 2020, 10:06:17 AM »
Not a great poll for Greenfield, given IA polling, but it's very odd that both high and low turnout are more favorable to Greenfield than... normal turnout.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,318
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2020, 10:40:52 AM »
Quote from: Ses on October 21, 2020, 10:35:11 AM
Quote from: Xing on October 21, 2020, 10:06:17 AM
Not a great poll for Greenfield, given IA polling, but it's very odd that both high and low turnout are more favorable to Greenfield than... normal turnout.

RV is not normal turnout Huh

Yes, but it's strange that both turnout numbers are more favorable for Greenfield, while the RV number is a tie. This would seem to imply that if turnout isn't especially low or high (i.e. normal turnout) that we'd expect it to be better for Ernst, which is... odd.
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