Trump: I WILL WIN VIRGINIA IN 2020 (user search)
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  Trump: I WILL WIN VIRGINIA IN 2020 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Trump: I WILL WIN VIRGINIA IN 2020  (Read 7439 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,318
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« on: January 17, 2020, 06:55:36 PM »

Yes, Trump should spend millions trying to win VA, but shouldn't worry about MI or WI. He has those states in the bag.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,318
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: April 11, 2020, 06:58:16 PM »

VA is Safe D. It would’ve been Safe D if Sanders or anyone else had been the nominee. Unless time travel becomes possible, we’re not going to see VA red (Atlas blue) on a map for a while.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,318
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #2 on: April 11, 2020, 07:56:07 PM »

Yeah, obviously there are tons of Obama/McAuliffe/Warner/Clinton/Northam/Kaine voters who have regularly voted Democratic who would’ve rushed to Trump’s arms had Sanders been the nominee, since he’s such a “bad fit” that a more than decade-long trend would not only stop but reverse itself to an enormous extent Roll Eyes. Remind me how Obama lost MI and PA in 2008, did worse than Kerry/Gore in OH/FL, and how Clinton lost CO but won OH in 2016.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,318
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #3 on: April 11, 2020, 11:33:13 PM »

Yeah, obviously there are tons of Obama/McAuliffe/Warner/Clinton/Northam/Kaine voters who have regularly voted Democratic who would’ve rushed to Trump’s arms had Sanders been the nominee, since he’s such a “bad fit” that a more than decade-long trend would not only stop but reverse itself to an enormous extent Roll Eyes. Remind me how Obama lost MI and PA in 2008, did worse than Kerry/Gore in OH/FL, and how Clinton lost CO but won OH in 2016.

Didn't you also think Bernie was going to do a lot better than he did in the primary? 

I mean, between NH and SC I overestimated his overall chances, yes, but so did most posters. The only states I guessed he would win that he didn’t were ME and MN (and I guess IA.) Either way, that says nothing about GE predictions, and it’s not like I’m predicting Sanders would do several points better than Biden there, simply that VA is a (somewhat light) blue state now, and pretty much any Democrat would beat Trump, an incredibly divisive president who’s very unpopular there, even if some Democrats didn’t end up loving the nominee.
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