These are the 2020 results. What is the Atlas narrative of the next 4 years?

[Xing]

Will the mass exodus of voters from Las Vegas, Phoenix, Denver, and Atlanta to Des Moines, Detroit, and Philadelphia continue in 2024?

[Xing]

I see MT Treasurer and Xing are already trying to act like they know what WILL happen in 2020 and will need to have an ambulance if 2016 trends don't continue. This isn't going to age well at all

I’ve been fairly clear that I’m not especially confident about a lot for 2020, and that people shouldn’t be too confident about their predictions. I’ve never said that literally every trend will continue (in fact, I’ve gotten plenty of flack for claiming that WI won’t necessarily trend sharply Republican in 2020.) However, it isn’t overconfident to say that IA almost certainly won’t vote left of AZ after it voted 6 points to the right of AZ in 2016. Then again, I’m trying to reason with someone who’s certain that the MI/OH results from 2016 were total flukes and both states WILL swing heavily Democratic in 2020, so maybe I’m wasting my breath.