Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 30,318
Political Matrix E: -6.52, S: -3.91
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« on: March 06, 2018, 09:04:47 PM » |
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Some of these news stations are acting like Trump won Wisconsin by 8% or something, or like Walker's approval rating is above 60%. I fail to see how it's a less likely pick-up than Ohio or Minnesota. I'm not saying Walker's DOA, but he's definitely more likely to lose than Baldwin at this point.
I'd say that the first three are reasonable, but it goes downhill from there. I think Connecticut is a decent pick-up opportunity for Republicans, but is it really more likely to flip than Michigan? Also, even though Minnesota is possible for Republicans if they have a good night, there are easily 5 or 6 races not on that list which are more likely to flip.
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