Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 30,327
Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91
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« on: December 25, 2017, 02:11:44 PM » |
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« edited: December 26, 2017, 12:09:21 AM by xīngkěruì »
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Since King Lear already made a thread about the worst imaginable result for Dems, here's the opposite one.
While it might be the case that if Democrats win every remotely competitive House race, they'd net close to 70 seats, and maybe lightning could theoretically strike in TX, TN, AND MS, it's hard to imagine that actually happening.
I think that the best plausible result for Democrats in the House would be a net gain of about 45 seats, or possibly 50 if it really is a wave. In the Senate, I think 52 total seats is the best that they could hope for (holding all of their seats while winning NV, AZ, and either TX or TN.)
Edit: For gubernatorial races, I'd say D+14, which would happen if they held all of their races, while picking up AZ, FL, IL, IA, KS, ME, MD, MI, NV, NH, NM, OH, WI, and one of GA/OK/VT.
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