ME-02: Poliquin in denial

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About time, it's been pretty clear that this is a Toss-Up for a while.

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Still a Toss-Up. We should wait until the poll is at least finished, and even then, it's one data point.

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I presume Golden must have been trailing by more than the 4 points he's currently trailing by when the "discussion" above took place? Or does hofoid really think that an incumbent being up 4 points in September when their party controls the White House makes them safe?

Well, he'd probably say that if it's a Republican incumbent (especially in Wisconsin), then being down by only 4 means that they're safe. You know, elitist smug Democrats pissing on the rurals and all that.

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Native Americans and refugees will be a (slightly) larger bloc than 4% of the vote, and they will not go to Poliquin by double digits.

Young people (especially around Bates College, in Golden's State House district) will also come out. They came out for a random-ass mayoral election in Lewiston last year.

LMAO just noticed Golden is winning independents. He's going to cruise.

I'm curious why you're so confident that Golden is going to win. I definitely think he's a good candidate, and he'll give Poliquin his toughest challenge yet, but even if the Siena poll is problematic, the only other poll we have shows a very tight race.

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I imagine that RCV will probably mean that Golden wins. I'm not sure we should write this off entirely in 2020. It's not like every Obama/Trump area went Republican this time. I think Trump wins it in a close race nationally, but probably by a significantly reduced margin.

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This one feels good. While it was close, it's another Obama/Trump district that was supposed to be "gone" for Democrats. While a 1% win doesn't suggest that it's going to be as Democratic as it was in 2008-2012, it certainly doesn't suggest that it will be "Safe R" from here on out.

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To quote what many of us heard two years ago: "You lost, Bruce, get over it."

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Bruce Poliquin has requested a recount.

What does he possibly hope to gain from this? Or is he still in the bargaining stage?

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Obviously Bruce is a sore loser but no one thought gillum was a sore loser for a recount at 50k margin.

Except half of Atlas Republicans. And machine recounts in Florida are automatic if the margin is within .5%, so it's not like Gillum specifically requested and paid for a recount.

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Poliquin is really setting himself up nicely for a rematch, isn't he?

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B-b-b-b-but I thought teh libs were the sore losers!!!