GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 04, 2024, 06:20:45 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread  (Read 72479 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,322
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« on: June 20, 2017, 04:10:50 PM »

While the drama is in Georgia tonight, I haven't seen anyone post the results page for SC-05, so here it is: https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/south-carolina-house-special-election
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,322
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: June 20, 2017, 06:40:37 PM »

Even if those numbers aren't great for Ossoff, it's a little early to be engraving his tombstone, no?
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,322
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #2 on: June 20, 2017, 07:16:50 PM »

Parnell's margins have been going down in each individual county as more of the vote has come in, and there are still Republican-leaning counties yet to report, so he's not going to win. He might make it closer than expected, though.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,322
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #3 on: June 20, 2017, 11:10:58 PM »

Ugh. This one stings. Really makes it feel like Democrats can't win no matter what they do. I think that one lesson to take away from this is that districts like GA-06 are not the "future" of the Democratic Party, and will be much harder for Democrats to win back than districts that are more working class. Clearly, the path to a majority in the House doesn't run through Republican districts that swung to Clinton. It runs through districts like IA-01, NY-19, and ME-02. And it's also obviously the case that flipping WI/MI/PA will be much easier for Democrats than flipping AZ/GA.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,322
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #4 on: June 20, 2017, 11:28:45 PM »

I wasn't implying that Upstate NY and IA alone can deliver Democrats the House, simply that districts with more Obama/Trump voters will probably be easier targets than districts with more Romney/Clinton voters. And while Democrats will need some suburban districts to win the House, and ones like CA-49 and VA-10 should definitely be doable, I don't think districts like TX-07 and IL-06 are more winnable than IA-01 or ME-02.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.016 seconds with 10 queries.