absentee/early vote thread, part 2

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Dem advantage in Duval up over 3,000 votes!

DEM 124,058
REP 121,027
OTH 47,472

Would you mind providing the source for this? The only one I have is the one below and it's not showing that yet and I'd like to check on my county - St. Johns.

https://countyballotfiles.elections.myflorida.com/FVRSCountyBallotReports/AbsenteeEarlyVotingReports/PublicStats

http://www.duvalelections.com/Election-Information/2016-General-Voter-Turnout

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The Democratic advantage in Duval should definitely exceed 4,000 before the end of the day. I'm not sure who wins it in the end, but if Duval is very tight, Florida is Likely D.

Also, in case anyone wants regular updates on Broward as well: http://www.voterfocus.com/voterturnout/GetVoterTurnout.php?county=broward&election=213

Orange country doesn't seem to update their numbers until the end of each day, but hopefully they'll have today's numbers up before too long: http://ocfelections.com/earlyvotingapps/evptall.aspx

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And the Democratic advantage in Duval just hit 4k!

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Nothing say Atlas poster more than refreshing the Duval election board website every 10 minutes on a Sunday afternoon.

Well, if it helps me gain more confidence that Hillary is going to win this thing, it's worth it.

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Wait, are the Florida county BOE websites updating live each time a new vote comes in?? I thought they just update at the end of the day.

Some of them, like Duval and Broward, update every 10 minutes.

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We can't completely rule out a Trump win in Florida, but unless the data we have is missing something absolutely massive, Clinton is definitely favored to win it, and thus the election.

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Trump would have to win a pretty sizable % of Democrats in ME-02, or win NPAs decisively to win ME-02, if that's the case. It could happen, but I think Hillary narrowly takes it, at this point.