Prediction: The 3 most shocking states on election night

[Xing]

I think Arizona going for Hillary would be a shock to most, but perhaps it wouldn't be as shocking to those of us who've been following this election closely (similar to how Indiana for Obama wasn't nearly as shocking for people who were following the race.) I could see Alaska, Missouri, and South Carolina being shockers or simply shockingly close. Also, watch South Dakota to see if turnout among Happy Farmers is high.

[Xing]

Keep in mind that this was during Pussygate, when polls showed Trump tanking, possibly even in danger of losing Alaska and Utah, and there was talk of Republicans trying to remove him from the ticket. The point is that making accurate predictions is not easy, and often requires luck more than anything else, since voters are often very unpredictable. My guesses in the special elections since 2016 have been much more accurate than my 2016 predictions, which I actually put a lot of effort into.