ME-UNH/Portland Press Herald: Clinton+4, but Trump wins CD2 by 14% (user search)
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  ME-UNH/Portland Press Herald: Clinton+4, but Trump wins CD2 by 14% (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME-UNH/Portland Press Herald: Clinton+4, but Trump wins CD2 by 14%  (Read 14466 times)
Xing
xingkerui
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Posts: 30,327
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Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« on: September 25, 2016, 10:03:42 AM »

This is possible in a Trumpslide, but I have trouble seeing ME-02 spontaneously becoming as Republican as a Plains state. It could get there eventually, but I think that Trump winning there by double digits is wishful thinking.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,327
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2016, 11:21:09 AM »

To make sense, this would mean that Hillary is ahead by 22 points in CD-1. That's just ridiculous.

That result, in and of itself, isn't hard to believe. Obama won ME-01 by almost that exact margin.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,327
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #2 on: September 25, 2016, 02:16:52 PM »

Does anyone still think that ME-02 is more competitive than Maine at-large?

Yes, because there's a chance that Hillary could win ME-02, although I'll admit that it seems unlikely right now. There's no way Trump is going to win the statewide vote.
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