New poll hype thread (user search)
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  New poll hype thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: New poll hype thread  (Read 95187 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #25 on: October 05, 2016, 11:07:37 AM »

Tie
Portman +9
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #26 on: October 06, 2016, 06:45:54 PM »
« Edited: October 06, 2016, 06:48:31 PM by xīngkěruì »

Clinton +1 sounds about right, since that result would have seemed too good to be true before the debate, but is pretty much par for the course right now.

Edit: I promise that I made this post before I saw TNV post the actual result!
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #27 on: October 07, 2016, 11:03:17 AM »

I'll  be optimistic and guess Clinton +1 for Iowa.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #28 on: October 08, 2016, 12:45:57 PM »

OH: Clinton +3, Portman +13
PA: Clinton +8, McGinty +2
WI: Clinton +9, Feingold +10
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #29 on: October 09, 2016, 01:36:53 PM »

Let's see some actual PPP polls before getting too excited.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #30 on: October 13, 2016, 01:29:23 PM »

Are those polls going to be post-pussygate? If so:

NC: Clinton +5
OH: Clinton +4

If they're pre-pussygate, take off 2-3 from the margin in each state.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #31 on: October 14, 2016, 10:47:06 AM »
« Edited: October 14, 2016, 10:51:33 AM by xīngkěruì »

I'll say Trump +6, Bayh +4, Gregg +1 for Indiana.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #32 on: October 14, 2016, 03:27:49 PM »

7-8 on the happiness scale?

Clinton +5
Flawless Beautiful Marco Purple heart Purple heart Purple heart +1 (I doubt they'd give a 7-8 if he's ahead by a significant margin)
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #33 on: October 15, 2016, 12:09:37 AM »

I'd be interested in seeing a Monmouth TX poll, but an AZ or GA poll would be even better.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #34 on: October 16, 2016, 12:18:01 AM »

Here are my guesses for the state polls:

NV: Clinton +3
UT: Trump +5
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #35 on: October 21, 2016, 04:45:37 PM »

Trump +4 in Texas
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #36 on: October 25, 2016, 11:44:45 AM »

I'll be optimistic and say Clinton +1 in Arizona.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #37 on: October 26, 2016, 10:45:35 AM »

Clinton +7
Hassan +1
Van Ostern +2
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #38 on: October 26, 2016, 01:40:35 PM »
« Edited: October 26, 2016, 02:25:43 PM by xīngkěruì »

Clinton's leads in PA haven't been enormous, even though they've been consistent. I'll say Clinton +6.

Edit: And McGinty +2
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #39 on: October 26, 2016, 03:26:21 PM »

NV: Clinton +5, Cortez-Masto +2
NH: Clinton +6, Ayotte +1, Van Ostern +3
TX: Trump +6
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #40 on: October 26, 2016, 09:32:21 PM »

Probably Trump +4 at the very most, unless they're trolling everyone.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #41 on: October 30, 2016, 04:12:42 PM »

Trump +11 because muh Trumpmentum...

Just kidding. Clinton +2.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #42 on: October 30, 2016, 09:59:59 PM »

Clinton +4. If it's less than Clinton +3, though, prepare for Atlas to go into panic mode.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #43 on: November 01, 2016, 04:42:46 PM »

Clinton +5
Feingold +4
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #44 on: November 02, 2016, 11:29:15 AM »
« Edited: November 02, 2016, 11:31:34 AM by xīngkěruì »

Hopefully Q's results will at least keep the bed wetting to a minimum.

I'll guess:
FL: Tie/Rubio +6
NC: Clinton +1/Burr +3/Cooper +1
OH: Trump +3/Portman +13
PA: Clinton +5/McGinty +2
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #45 on: November 02, 2016, 05:23:47 PM »

FL:
Clinton +1
Flawless Beautiful Marco Purple heart Purple heart Purple heart +3

NH:
Clinton +5
Ayotte +1
Van Ostern +2
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #46 on: November 05, 2016, 02:47:01 PM »

FL: Clinton +3, Flawless Beautiful Marco Purple heart Purple heart Purple heart +5
OH: Trump +2, Portman +13

IA: Trump +3, Grassley +12
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #47 on: November 06, 2016, 11:58:58 AM »

why do you all expect a clinton lead again?

Because, um, NH is a deep blue state?

But do the polls reflect that? There's another blue state where the polls never do. Wink

I'll say:
Clinton +3
Hassan +2
Van Ostern +2
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,325
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #48 on: November 06, 2016, 06:28:10 PM »

NC:

Clinton +4
Cooper +3
Burr +1
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