WA- Elway Poll: Clinton +19 (user search)
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  WA- Elway Poll: Clinton +19 (search mode)
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Author Topic: WA- Elway Poll: Clinton +19  (Read 4133 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« on: August 15, 2016, 12:20:47 PM »

I'm happy to live in such a freedom state! Smiley

People claiming that Washington will at least trend toward Trump are making the mistake of assuming that all white voters are trending Republican. That's not the case in the Pacific Northwest. Washington and Oregon have trended Democratic, since nearly all of the population growth has been in the Seattle/Portland areas. Trump is a horrible fit for Washington, and he'll get annihilated west of the Cascades. He'll win most of the ultra conservatives in Eastern WashingtonWestern Idaho, but there's also a sizable Latino population in areas like Yakima, so that could be helping Clinton even more. Even though Obama was probably a slightly better fit for Washington than Hillary, I expect her to win by more, simply because we hate Trump so much here.

I'd say that NOVAGreen could tell us the most about Oregon, but I'd expect most of what I said to be true to an extent there as well, and I'd be stunned if Hillary didn't win by double digits.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: August 15, 2016, 02:45:08 PM »

I'm really looking forward to seeing our county map this November.

I'm honestly not expecting that many flips from 2012, though Wahkiakum and Skamania could flip, and if there's one county in the east that Clinton might have a chance in, it's probably Whitman. Kittias and Spokane could trend toward Trump. I'd be stunned if Clinton actually won Yakima, but I wouldn't be surprised if it trended her way.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #2 on: August 15, 2016, 07:42:52 PM »


I don't dislike Idaho, but the two are politically very similar. Tongue
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