GaussLaw
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,279
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« on: September 02, 2014, 10:44:22 PM » |
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First, Obama vs Romney may not be a great comparison just because this would assume these countries would be assimilated into American politics (name recognition and popularity as head of a country would be possible confounders here), but obviously those that show a high margin would be more Democrat.
My opinion: North America: Canada D, Mexico Tossup (social conservatism + tough on crime vs economic populism), Haiti D, DOminican Republic D, many of the small islands: wealthier ones R poorer ones D South America: Argentina-D (they have a real command economy there and are socially liberal, I'm surprised others put R), Chile-R, Uruguay-D, Bolivia/Peru/Ecuador/Venezuela-D Africa: All D except Botswana, pockets of South Africa, Namibia, Ecuatorial Guinea, Algeria, Tunisia, Libya, Egypt (which would all range from Toss-up/Tilt D to lean R) Europe-East is conservative, West is all D except for Ireland Middle East-assuming that the US is a country annexing all others, the Middle East would lean R due to a "North Dakota Effect"(having all the oil) plus social conservatism, even if it's a different religion. Poorer countries like Pakistan would likely lean D though, as would Yemen. UAE, Qatar, and Kuwait would be R strongholds. Asia: Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan - Strong R; China-R in the cities, D in the countryside; India-probably quite D; Australia/New Zealand-Probably both lean R; Russia-Lean R I guess
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