Who will win the Senate control in November?

[GaussLaw]

At this point the GOP is definitely favored.

I'm predicting pickups in WV, NC, IA, AR, LA, SD, MT, and AK at the moment.  

I would bet money that the GOP will not have a net gain of eight seats.

Um.......it is definitely within the realm of possibility.

If the GOP can get momentum on the generic ballot, which is very possible in the last 100 days, and they can lock down KY, then I could easily see them get the net gain Del Tachi is predicting.  I would also throw in Colorado and Michigan if they are lucky.  I know this forum hates Scott Brown, but he could win if we see the Generic Ballot shift to R+5.  It isn't likely, but NH is extremely elastic in Senate elections, and I could see them break hard to the right if we see a national swing as well.

That being said, I am much more optimistic for the GOP than this forum.

[GaussLaw]

I know this forum hates Scott Brown, but he could win if we see the Generic Ballot shift to R+5.  It isn't likely, but NH is extremely elastic in Senate elections...

Scott Brown is not winning anything, dude. His campaign is imploding more than I could ever imagine, and it's looking like his win in Massachusetts was a fluke.

Yes, but he is down high single digits, and New Hampshire is very elastic and known for breaking hard near election time.  I still give him a 10% chance of winning, which is about the chance of a complete GOP landslide. 

BTW, the GOP regaining the lead on the generic ballot is not at all unprecedented.  This cycle the party has had the lead multiple times and very well could take it back quite soon.

[GaussLaw]

I know this forum hates Scott Brown, but he could win if we see the Generic Ballot shift to R+5.  It isn't likely, but NH is extremely elastic in Senate elections...

Scott Brown is not winning anything, dude. His campaign is imploding more than I could ever imagine, and it's looking like his win in Massachusetts was a fluke.

Yes, but he is down high single digits, and New Hampshire is very elastic and known for breaking hard near election time.

This isn't about the state. It's about the candidate.

Fair enough........my point is probably moot come November.  But even a bad candidate can limp over the finish line in a wave for one party.  There were plenty of crap House candidates that won in 2010 like Joe Walsh..........I know the Senate is different, but I am just saying that people are writing off Brown a bit too quickly.  He still can win; he probably won't, but he still can.

[GaussLaw]

Leaning on republicans still.