How does TRUMP possibly win? (user search)
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  How does TRUMP possibly win? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How does TRUMP possibly win?  (Read 2588 times)
RR1997
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,997
United States


« on: May 07, 2016, 08:37:11 PM »

What has to happen in order for Trump to become president?

I just don't see Trump winning. His absolute ceiling is a 2% loss. He has completely alienated minorities and educated, upscale whites. If we assume that he gets 10% of blacks and 20% of Hispanics/Asians, he will need 66% of the white vote (the percentage Reagan got in 1984) in order to barely win.

I know people say things like "There is still 6 months until the election. Anything could happen."

The polls were actually pretty accurate 6 months before the 2012 and 2008 elections.http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/obama_vs_romney_compared_to_obama_vs_mccain.html

I just can't see us electing a joke candidate like Trump. Trump has a 0.000001% chance of victory.
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