It will be close, but my guess is Trump. He and Kasich are the most electable GOP candidates.
Trump. He's actually defined the election in a way that Clinton hasn't.
TRUMP, by a similar margin to Obama 2012.
No. I really hope you guys are joking.
Clinton, and it won't even be close. Clinton is going to trump TRUMP. Clinton is at the
very least going to win by 6 points. Clinton is an absolutely wonderful debater. Trump is an empty-suit and Hillary could easily point this out at the debate. Trump has by far the lowest approval ratings of any candidate running. Trump is absolutely hated by Democrats, independents, and 2/3 of Republicans. He is going to make incredibly small gains with working-class whites, but this will easily be made up by Asians and Hispanics turning out at record levels. Even whites are going to swing against Trump. Religious, wealthy, educated, liberal, conservative, and young whites all hate Trump. A lot of religious/wealthy/conservative Republicans are going to stay home. The problem with Trump is that he appeals to such a small group of people. 2/3 of the Republicans hate him. Only a plurality of the GOP likes him, and all you need is a plurality to win the primaries. Trump consistently loses to Hillary in the polls, and Hillary is a great debater, so her lead should increase as the campaign season goes on. Trump is not the most electable candidate. He does worse against Hillary than any other GOP candidate. Even Cruz does better than him. Trump has a 10% chance of winning the GE, and that's being generous.
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