ME-GOV 2018: Collins for Governor? (user search)

Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp

Posts: 5,917

Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

Re: ME-GOV 2018: Collins for Governor?

« on: March 13, 2015, 03:48:33 PM »

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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp

Posts: 5,917

Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

Re: ME-GOV 2018: Collins for Governor?

« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2015, 03:57:04 PM »

Quote from: Zioneer on March 13, 2015, 03:50:34 PM

Well, if it gets her out of the Senate...

LePage would appoint a Republican in his last days so it wouldn't matter.

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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp

Posts: 5,917

Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

Re: ME-GOV 2018: Collins for Governor?

« Reply #2 on: March 13, 2015, 05:37:00 PM »

Quote from: Vox Populi on March 13, 2015, 05:32:15 PM

Quote from: Free Bird on March 13, 2015, 03:57:04 PM

Quote from: Zioneer on March 13, 2015, 03:50:34 PM

Well, if it gets her out of the Senate...

LePage would appoint a Republican in his last days so it wouldn't matter.

Uh, there would be a special election against a Republican who isn't entrenched in a Dem-leaning state. So it does matter for senate Republicans

With the right views, anyone can win in that state. I realize now that she would do the appointment. I feel that Collins wouldn't appoint someone that isn't ideologically similar to herself, making the seat safe again. She may be indestructible, but her strategic side is keen

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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp

Posts: 5,917

Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

Re: ME-GOV 2018: Collins for Governor?

« Reply #3 on: March 24, 2015, 09:50:05 PM »

Quote from: xingkerui on March 24, 2015, 08:56:50 PM

Unless she picks her replacement very carefully, RIP that seat for Republicans. Keep in mind that a special election would be held in 2020, a presidential year.

A centrist compromiser can continue to win the seat indefinitely

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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp

Posts: 5,917

Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

Re: ME-GOV 2018: Collins for Governor?

« Reply #4 on: March 27, 2015, 07:59:25 PM »

Quote from: Sawx, King in the North on March 27, 2015, 03:51:19 PM

Quote from: smoltchanov on March 27, 2015, 12:28:12 AM

Quote from: Maxwell on March 26, 2015, 02:35:33 PM

Quote from: smoltchanov on March 25, 2015, 12:57:01 AM

Quote from: Miles on March 24, 2015, 10:10:59 PM

Quote from: RINO Tom on March 24, 2015, 09:49:50 PM

Quote from: xingkerui on March 24, 2015, 08:56:50 PM

Unless she picks her replacement very carefully, RIP that seat for Republicans. Keep in mind that a special election would be held in 2020, a presidential year.

I bet that guy who won the House seat would still be favored.

Yeah, I wouldn't underestimate Poliquin, if he's appointed. Well have to see how he holds up next year, but Maine in 2014 already had the highest turnout of any state. The bump Democrats get from Presidential turnout likely wouldn't be as pronounced here.

May be. But his rather strong social conservatism isn't a plus (but rather a minus) in Maine. Especially - statewide, with 1st district being much more socially liberal.

LePage is far more conservative than Poliquin and won very re-election very convincingly. I suspect Poliquin will surprise us and hold on.

Again - may be. But 2016 is unlikely to be next 2014.....

Cain is not a long-term solution for ME-2. She'd be the best candidate Democrats have for governor, which makes the DCCC's strategy even more confusing. If she wins, bet on it - she'll lose again in 2018.

So another Guinta-Shea-Porter

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