IA: PPP: Ernst +2 (user search)
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  IA: PPP: Ernst +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA: PPP: Ernst +2  (Read 2810 times)
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« on: September 30, 2014, 01:14:21 PM »

The way everyone was talking up this poll, I thought Ernst was going to lead by about 12.

PPP was tweeting a few days ago that "she's definitely ahead".

I was also thinking that she'd be ahead 4-8 considering this.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #1 on: September 30, 2014, 07:51:35 PM »

Ernst is already collapsing, a poll from a few days ago had her up by 5, now she's only up by 2.

From the left leaning PPP. This is still good news.
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #2 on: September 30, 2014, 08:34:28 PM »

Ernst is already collapsing, a poll from a few days ago had her up by 5, now she's only up by 2.

From the left leaning PPP. This is still good news.

How are they left-leaning... the best state-level pollsters overall from 2010 and 2012...

This really needs to be put to bed. If anything, their national polls in 2012 had a right-bent.

Even if yuh PPP was neutral, 538 had them in the C range, which isn't that good. Even if THAT wasn't the case and PPP was perfect, it still showed an Ernst lead in what is bound to be a close race just based on how Iowa votes.
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