Who will win in Montana (user search)
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  Who will win in Montana (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Who will win the Montana senate race?
#1
John Walsh (D, "I")		  
#2
Steve Daines (R)		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 59

Author Topic: Who will win in Montana  (Read 1696 times)
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48
« on: July 23, 2014, 03:08:37 PM »
I can't believe I had to make this, but the race, for SOME reason, is tightening up. Daines still has a lead, but this is just weird. So who will win? Why is this surge suddenly happening?
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48
« Reply #1 on: July 23, 2014, 03:12:33 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on July 23, 2014, 03:11:38 PM
Daines, and it won't be particularly close.

Why is it tightening? It's weird.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48
« Reply #2 on: July 23, 2014, 03:22:29 PM »
Nobody has an explanation why it is tightening up?
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48
« Reply #3 on: July 23, 2014, 05:06:40 PM »
Quote from: MW Speaker LeBron FitzGerald on July 23, 2014, 03:53:43 PM
Quote from: TheHawk on July 23, 2014, 03:22:29 PM
Nobody has an explanation why it is tightening up?
Because ever since Bullock appointed Walsh, Walsh has gotten enough outside help and campaign help from the MT establishment to unleash some pretty huge attack ads against Daines (the biggest one being the "Melissa" ad). By doing so, Daines' disapproval went up as more people have gotten to know Walsh.

For that reason and the fact that the Libertarian will probably cost Daines the election like they did Rehberg, I say Walsh holds on in the end by a tight margin. Kind of optimistic, but it's a bold prediction.

More like very. Even with it tightening, Daines is still hovering barely below 50
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