Battleground Georgia: Democrats see 2014 flip (user search)
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  Battleground Georgia: Democrats see 2014 flip (search mode)
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Author Topic: Battleground Georgia: Democrats see 2014 flip  (Read 3798 times)
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« on: July 23, 2014, 02:39:07 PM »

Wishful thinking. They may win the two races in November, but that won't make Georgia blue overnight. Did the Republican takeover in Maine in 2010 make that a red state? No.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #1 on: July 23, 2014, 03:30:04 PM »

Wishful thinking. They may win the two races in November, but that won't make Georgia blue overnight. Did the Republican takeover in Maine in 2010 make that a red state? No.

When Webb won the senate seat in 2006, that was foreshadowing.

More like Allen putting his foot in his mouth, and even then it was close. VA only took a turn to the left in 2008 because of Obama raising black turnout. Need I remind you of the gubernatorial races. McDonnell won in a landslide even after Obama's comfortable win there, and Terry only won due to a spoiler in the form of Sarvis. 2012 was closer, and was also due to Obama and maybe a popular governor being on the ballot for Senate, causing swing voters to vote across the board. The latter half is just my theory, though.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #2 on: July 23, 2014, 05:18:45 PM »

More like Allen putting his foot in his mouth, and even then it was close. VA only took a turn to the left in 2008 because of Obama raising black turnout. Need I remind you of the gubernatorial races. McDonnell won in a landslide even after Obama's comfortable win there, and Terry only won due to a spoiler in the form of Sarvis. 2012 was closer, and was also due to Obama and maybe a popular governor being on the ballot for Senate, causing swing voters to vote across the board. The latter half is just my theory, though.

Yes, Allen would probably have won if he did have a hiccup. Still, that doesn't make the race any less important in the grand scheme of things. What that election shows is that Northern Virginia is now strong enough to power a Democrat to victory given favorable circumstances.

Also, for a very long time (longer than I can remember), Virginia has elected governor from the party that looses the White House the previous year. That McAuliffe won is a break of tradition. Additionally, Sarvis only took slightly more from McAuliffe than Cuccinelli (poll data).

It was still a nailbiter. It is far from Lean D as of now.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #3 on: July 24, 2014, 10:17:34 AM »

I can imagine this post in 1934:

How are Massachusetts Republicans going to address the changes when Irish American votes aren't even remotely elastic!?

Also,

Northern Catholics are even more partisan than Northern Protestants, so Bacon could be in trouble just by being a Republican.



Georgia Republicans can win back the southern black votes; all they have to do is stop being racists which would make it almost impossible baring a realignment.

Okay seriously how are Republicans racist?
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #4 on: July 24, 2014, 03:45:18 PM »

Wishful thinking. They may win the two races in November, but that won't make Georgia blue overnight. Did the Republican takeover in Maine in 2010 make that a red state? No.

When Webb won the senate seat in 2006, that was foreshadowing.

More like Allen putting his foot in his mouth, and even then it was close. VA only took a turn to the left in 2008 because of Obama raising black turnout. Need I remind you of the gubernatorial races. McDonnell won in a landslide even after Obama's comfortable win there, and Terry only won due to a spoiler in the form of Sarvis. 2012 was closer, and was also due to Obama and maybe a popular governor being on the ballot for Senate, causing swing voters to vote across the board. The latter half is just my theory, though.
Sarvis took more votes from Terry than he did Cucinelli

Yeah I get it
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