Is this the most plausible route to 218?

[PAK Man]

Forget Iowa 1 and 3 as long as Hollywood and SJWs remain the face of the Democratic Party.

Despite the fact Obama EASILY won IA-01 and narrowly won IA-03? The third district will always be slightly challenging since David Young, while a complete bore, has Grassley connections, so he'll probably be safe for as long as he's there.

Don't let the 2016 results fool you; IA-01 is quite Democratic. Iowans HATED Clinton (even Democratic voters, who all, for some reason, voted for Gary Johnson instead of her) which explains why she did poorly there, especially compared to Obama. The House races fumbled in 2014 because Pat Murphy never had a competitive race before and assumed the seat would go blue (keep in mind this was a very narrow loss) and Vernon suffered the same fate in 2016 - everybody assumed she'd win because of the district's partisan lean and didn't even bother really competing here until it was too late.

[PAK Man]

Forget Iowa 1 and 3 as long as Hollywood and SJWs remain the face of the Democratic Party.

Despite the fact Obama EASILY won IA-01 and narrowly won IA-03? The third district will always be slightly challenging since David Young, while a complete bore, has Grassley connections, so he'll probably be safe for as long as he's there.

Don't let the 2016 results fool you; IA-01 is quite Democratic. Iowans HATED Clinton (even Democratic voters, who all, for some reason, voted for Gary Johnson instead of her) which explains why she did poorly there, especially compared to Obama. The House races fumbled in 2014 because Pat Murphy never had a competitive race before and assumed the seat would go blue (keep in mind this was a very narrow loss) and Vernon suffered the same fate in 2016 - everybody assumed she'd win because of the district's partisan lean and didn't even bother really competing here until it was too late.

Yes, but 2012 was well before the Dems had SJW baggage and treated working-class whites like racist, uneducated scum. Obama actively courted their votes and showed concern for their needs.

I'm not denying that IA-01 has the fundamentals of a blue district, but the Democrats have to go back to what they were in 2012 if they want to win it.

Trump even won IA-02, which is way more liberal than IA-01. That's the extent of Dems' collapse among working-class whites who voted Obama twice, and you can't just assume that they're all just going to magically come back.

And if Iowa Dems uniquely hate Clinton so much, why did she win the Iowa caucus?

By the skin of her teeth, she won by. Also, caucuses are a bad measure of support.