FL-07
Murphy: 181,758 (51.5%)
Mica: 171,412 (48.5%)
In my opinion, this was the most shocking house result of the election. I thought Mica was a good fit, I don't even know if Clinton won this one, but nonetheless he got squeaked out and at best performed only slightly better than Trump.
According to Sabato, Mica was not taking his reelection seriously, and apparently hadn't even hired a campaign manager. His district was redrawn into one that Obama just barely won. He also hadn't had a serious reelection challenge in years. It's especially fascinating when you realize Democrats almost didn't contest this seat (Murphy entered on the last day of filing).
Now THAT is a shocking result. If Democrats had actually gotten a serious challenger, that might have spelled trouble for her.
Roby was one of the first Republicans to disavow Trump after the tape got leaked. She said she wouldn't vote for him, and there was a revolt among conservatives in her district. who voted write-in candidates instead of Roby. Probably didn't hurt that her opponent wasn't actually a Some Dude (he was a former state rep.)
