Preliminary 2015 and 2016 Gubernatorial Ratings

[PAK Man]

Delaware - Beau Biden is a good candidate but there's a couple candidates who might make it competitive. Likely D

Indiana - Pence had a very unimpressive victory in 2012, but he should be fine in 2016, especially since John Gregg passed on a rematch. Likely R

Kentucky - Democrats and Republicans both have decent candidates, and while the state elects Republicans federally, it's Democratic-friendly at the state level. Tossup

Louisiana - It's hard to see a Democrat winning in Louisiana, but the right Democrat could make the race competitive. Likely R

Mississippi - Bryant should cruise to his second term. Safe R

Missouri - Like Kentucky, there are decent candidates on both side of the aisle and there's too little known for me to make a guess here. Tossup

Montana - Bullock won a close race in 2012, and though Montana has been known to be nice to Democrats, I'm expecting something similar in 2016. Tossup

New Hampshire - There's uncertainty here in that Hassan may run for senate in 2016. But if she runs again she'll probably be fine. Leans D

North Carolina - Roy Cooper is pretty much in, and McCrory's ratings haven't been the greatest. Presidential turnout should help Cooper as well. Tossup

North Dakota - This seat is Dalrymple's for as long as he wants it. Safe R

Utah - As I said in the senate thread, I think Jim Matheson is more likely to challenge Herbert than Lee. If he jumps in, this will be a real race. Likely R

Vermont - Shumlin's apparent victory this year was unimpressive, but he should be fine in 2016. Likely D

Washington - Inslee had a tough race in 2012, but Washington has a long streak of electing Democrats in close races. I expect he'll hold on in 2016. Leans D

West Virginia - The state is slipping away from Democrats, but Shelley Moore Capito was basically the entire West Virginia Republican Party. I expect the GOP to mount a serious challenge here, but there's still enough Democrats in the state to make it interesting. Tossup