Sabato Initial Senate Rankings

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The thing with Texas it's such an expensive state with a multitude of different machines and media markets you can't really go for the scrappy underdog routine. It would require a huge investment, and in a year when they need a lot for defence I don't think the Dems should bet the barn just for the symbolic joy of taking a statewide office in Texas.

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New England is flexible enough to cross the aisle because they all think the Republican is a total hottie or whatever. Deep South? Less so.

Also the Scott Brown election was explicitly a special election at an unorthodox time, so was susceptible to be a bit weird. The Alabamama special election will be with all the other midterms, so will probably obey "normal" rules.