Make five predictions about 2020, and discuss the previous poster's predictions (user search)
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  Make five predictions about 2020, and discuss the previous poster's predictions (search mode)
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Author Topic: Make five predictions about 2020, and discuss the previous poster's predictions  (Read 2559 times)
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CrabCake
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« on: October 06, 2015, 12:27:52 PM »

My five predictions are:

1) there is a full scale uprising in Saudi Arabia, as the spillover from Yemen, Syria and Iraq combined with economic and political issues become too much to cope. The west has distanced itself from the royal family, and is recosying itself with Iran.

2) the coal industry in America is dead, with the majority of plants set to be mothballed and coal mining across the country, even in the Wyoming basin, has slumped.

3) the Eurozone does not exist anymore.

4) the ANC has been surprisingly forced into a minority government in South Africa

5) there is a military coup in Brazil and Venezuela.
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CrabCake
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Kiribati


« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2015, 02:44:32 PM »

David's predictions

1) I think yes, if the euro still exists, people would still be annoyed about it but unable to get rid of it. (As ironically, that would require pan-European collaboration.
2) yes, but only in an election cyclic way. I don't see any populist right parties becoming the new natural parties of power, or anything.
3) actually I think the opposite. For example: there's a lot of young Northern Irish who are just annoyed at the catholic vs Protestant, loyalist vs Republican fleg debates and honestly just want focus on economic issues. Similarly there's increasing resentment of both the old and new elite in South Africa. Similar things are happening in Malaysia Etc. I think drawing pan-global trends is fraught with confusion - obviously some counties ethnic identity will become ever more politicised (e.g. The Lavent) but I don't think there will be an increase.
4) yes, I consider it quite likely and Israel will have to be measured in
 its resource, considering its relationship with the West is in a pretty poor state as it is.
5) hopefully not, but yes I would expect the far-right (either of the homegrown or Islamist variety) will do their best to destroy any equilibrium worked out in society.

Last Northerner's predictions:

1) they can certainly try, but I don't think they have someone savvy enough to pull it off
2) yes, the FN will rise depressingly, unless they have some financial scandal.
3) yes, I think the CPP like the BN in Malaysia is in an incredibly precarious situation for next election.
4) yes, for obvious reasons
5) it can certainly try, but there will be violent public blowback

My predictions:

1) China has a recession
2) Putin falls, but is replaced by an even more nationalistic and odious figure.
3) marijuana is legalised in over half of U.S. states.
4) The King of Thailand dies, and his secession is contested, setting off a dangerous series of skirmishes.
5) the Kim dynasty in dPRK is deposed and replaced with a Chinese puppet.
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CrabCake
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Kiribati


« Reply #2 on: July 17, 2016, 09:39:16 PM »

1) I doubt it. After a while the Right of the Tory backbenchers will flip if Article 50 isn't triggered. Maybe HoL will block it, but that would probably cause a constitutional crisis.
2) I'm pretty sure she will. The Clinton's enjoy being in power (interestingly I think there is more chance she suffers a Ted Kennedy style insurgent primary challenger than steps down willingly)
3) structural unemployment would probably be higher
4) no sh*t?
5) Isis will continue to inspire, but the actual territory of ISIS will be long gone.

1) Western Europe are trying to leave NATO to form a EuropeAn Army. The Easterners are sceptical.
2) Japan's constitutional amendment rejecting pacifism fails, causing Abe to resign and the LDP to abruptly collapse, leading to yet another doomed Opposition Government.
3) electric cars are as cheap as petrol and diesel cars
4) Duterte is toppled in a coup in the Philippines after being seen as too friendly with the communist rebels and backlash against his hardcore anti-drug policies.
5) a renewed wave of Quebec Nationalism has become popular
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