538 Model Debut: 64% Chance of Republican Majority; R+7 Most Likely (user search)
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  538 Model Debut: 64% Chance of Republican Majority; R+7 Most Likely (search mode)
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Author Topic: 538 Model Debut: 64% Chance of Republican Majority; R+7 Most Likely  (Read 3315 times)
Never
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« on: September 03, 2014, 02:22:46 PM »
« edited: September 03, 2014, 02:32:07 PM by Never »
I can't say I believe Republicans have a 54% chance of winning the Senate race in Alaska. It seems risky to try and adjust polling to fit a model as 538 did in a state like that.

Still, Nate Silver did note that most Senate prediction models will probably have a notable number of faulty calls this year:

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