Hillary Clinton/Mark Warner - 347 EVs - 52% PVMitt Romney/Tim Pawlenty - 191 EVs - 45-46% PVMitt Romney wouldn't do as well as he did in 2012, but North Carolina might be the only Democratic pickup compared to 2012. Considering how poorly Romney did with several groups in 2012, the only demographic that I could imagine him slipping even further with is white women. I suspect that Mark Warner is among the strongest vice-presidential options, while Pawlenty wouldn't add much to any ticket based on what was witnessed during his failed bid for the presidency.
