Nj 2017 legislature (user search)
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Author Topic: Nj 2017 legislature  (Read 1374 times)
Suburbia
bronz4141
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Posts: 19,666
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« on: June 18, 2017, 11:59:35 AM »

Right now, New Jersey Democrats control the Assembly 52-28, they control the State Senate 24-16.

Nov. 2017:
Assembly
Democrats-55 seats (Gain D+3 seats)
Republicans-25 seats

State Senate:
25 seats (Gain D+1 seats)
15 seats

New Jersey Democrats could get a supermajority in November, but Gov. Phil Murphy could see a Republican Assembly in 2019 if voters get disillusioned despite the Democratic redistricting for the 2011 decade. A Murphy Assembly midterm in 2019 will be watched closely.

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Suburbia
bronz4141
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Posts: 19,666
United States


« Reply #1 on: June 19, 2017, 02:53:29 PM »

Right now, New Jersey Democrats control the Assembly 52-28, they control the State Senate 24-16.

Nov. 2017:
Assembly
Democrats-55 seats (Gain D+3 seats)
Republicans-25 seats

State Senate:
25 seats (Gain D+1 seats)
15 seats

New Jersey Democrats could get a supermajority in November, but Gov. Phil Murphy could see a Republican Assembly in 2019 if voters get disillusioned despite the Democratic redistricting for the 2011 decade. A Murphy Assembly midterm in 2019 will be watched closely.



Do you have predictions for which seats flip?

Potentially 5 districts could flip in November 2017, as the gerrymandering in 2011 still is in effect. I'll take a look at some of the races and get back. Some safe R seats could be gone in a Democratic wave as well.

http://www.nj.com/politics/index.ssf/2017/06/is_the_political_makeup_of_the_nj_legislature_set.html

State Senator Jen Beck could lose to Vin Gopal in LD-11 if Murphy's Monmouth Democratic machine turns out. Her colleagues in the Assembly are Democrats, so her ticket could go down if Guadagno underperforms.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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Posts: 19,666
United States


« Reply #2 on: July 01, 2017, 01:32:43 PM »
« Edited: July 01, 2017, 01:39:22 PM by bronz4141 »

With the N.J. budget crisis, Assembly Speaker Vincent Prieto (D-Hudson) could face a speakership challenge from Assemblyman Craig Coughlin of Middlesex. It could be a crazy and bitter political impasse.

http://www.northjersey.com/story/news/columnists/charles-stile/2017/06/30/assembly-speaker-prieto-puts-job-line-budget-brawl/441272001/

The next governor, likely Phil Murphy, I wonder how he would deal with the N.J. Democratic Party's squabbles in the state Legislature.
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