Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
Posts: 44,066
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« on: March 07, 2008, 01:14:54 PM » |
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The whole idea that you can infer which states a candidate is going to win in the GE based on where they win primaries is ridiculous. McCain only won, what, 7 primaries in 2000? Does that mean that he necessarily would have been a worse GE candidate than Bush? No, of course not. Because Bush got a disproportionately high share of votes from people who were going to vote for the Republican in the GE no matter what (while McCain got lots of indies), you can't make that argument.
So the question isn't whether Clinton or Obama are getting more votes from the "more important states". It's **which voters they're getting in those states**.
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