Official SC Republican Primary Results Thread

[Mr. Morden]

30% were Independents... dwarfing the 19% Ambinder gave us...  McCain won Indies 60-34%.  he might well be f***ed

But McCain won over 40% of the vote in the 2000 SC primary (because he was basically in a 2-way race with Bush).  This time, he could get less than 30%, and still win.

[Mr. Morden]

Sam, just to clarify, what you mean when you say "head-to-head"?  Are you refering to the split between McCain and Huckabee as opposed to McCain and the field?  So, for example, when you say Indies are going 62-38 for McCain "head-to-head", does that mean that, among those Indies that voted for either McCain or Huckabee, Mac got 62% and Huck got 38%, or do you mean that Mac got 62% of *all* indies, even when considering other candidates?

[Mr. Morden]

Ah, OK, then that's good for McCain since, as I said earlier, he could still win SC even with far fewer votes than he got in 2000 because of the crowded field.  In fact, he could potentially get just 2/3rds as many votes as he got in 2000, but still win.

[Mr. Morden]

CNN's exit poll:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/index.html#SCREP

Average the results for men and women, and McCain leads Huck by 3-4 points.

[Mr. Morden]

First results coming in on CNN's website, just a handful of votes in:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#SC

[Mr. Morden]

someone refresh my memory, just a few months ago didnt the polls indicate rudy was 20%+ in sc?

In August/Sept., yes.  In fact, back then, Giuliani was at at least 15% in IA, NH, MI, *and* NV as well.

[Mr. Morden]

Lol.  Craig Crawford on MSNBC compares Thompson to Superman's General Zod???