are the following stocks under- or over-valued on Intrade? (user search)
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  are the following stocks under- or over-valued on Intrade? (search mode)
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Author Topic: are the following stocks under- or over-valued on Intrade?  (Read 2060 times)
Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,066
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« on: December 09, 2007, 09:45:20 PM »

2008.DEM.VP.OBAMA 11.7: Once again, are you kidding me? 20-25, at least, although a couple of months ago before the Hillary-Obama spat began, this would be a lot higher

You really think that if Obama doesn't get the nomination himself that there's then about a 1 in 3 chance of him being selected for VP (20 to 25% / 65% chance he's not nominated for prez himself = ~1/3)?  I really don't think it's that likely that HRC would pick him.
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Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,066
United States


« Reply #1 on: December 09, 2007, 10:15:58 PM »

Well, he's certainly a lot more likely than Gore, but that's not saying much.  I think it's more likely that Clinton would choose, say, Bayh, Strickland, or Webb than Obama.  I definitely don't think there's a ~1 in 3 chance of Obama being the VP nominee if he doesn't get the presidential nomination.
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Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,066
United States


« Reply #2 on: December 10, 2007, 12:45:56 AM »

No, I think it just means that Inks is on the Alan Keyes bandwagon.
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