CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 48% Clinton 45%

[Mr. Morden]

CNN/ORC national poll, conducted July 22-24:

http://edition.cnn.com/2016/07/25/politics/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-poll/index.html

https://twitter.com/Phil_Mattingly/status/757516639516684288



https://twitter.com/Phil_Mattingly/status/757516901710987264

[Mr. Morden]

fav/unfav %:
Pence 39/26% for +13%
Trump 46/51% for -5%
Clinton 41/55% for -14%

[Mr. Morden]

Among Dems and Dem-leaning Indies who prefer Sanders for the nomination, here’s their GE support in the 4-way:

Clinton 64%
Johnson 14%
Trump 11%
Stein 6%

Among Republicans and Republican-leaning Indies who would have preferred someone besides Trump had won the nomination, here’s their GE support in the 4-way:

Trump 66%
Johnson 17%
Clinton 10%
Stein 4%


In other news, big education gap….

white college grads:
Clinton 44%
Trump 39%
Johnson 9%
Stein 4%

white non-college grads:
Trump 61%
Clinton 23%
Johnson 8%
Stein 3%

Regional breakdown…..

Midwest:
Trump 46%
Clinton 36%
Johnson 9%
Stein 2%

Northeast:
Clinton 49%
Trump 33%
Johnson 9%
Stein 3%

South:
Trump 49%
Clinton 36%
Johnson 8%
Stein 3%

West:
Trump 43%
Clinton 39%
Johnson 11%
Stein 3%

And Johnson still drawing most of his support from youths.  He’s at 17% among voters under 45, but only 4% among voters over 65.

[Mr. Morden]

The story says that post-convention, Clinton actually gained among white college grads, while Trump made big gains among white non-college grads:

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[Mr. Morden]

What King remarked in the other place was that CNN/ORC apparently thinks white non-college voter turnout is going to swell to match white college educated turnout.

I thought this was a poll of registered voters?  In which case, the assumptions are about the pool of registered voters in the USA, not the turnout in November, no?