I'm wondering also about how seriously anyone there considers his chance of election, and how that is affecting the current economic climate.
I was in Malaysia in December, and after I told my tour guide that I was American, he asked me about Trump. He said that since Trump was "so far ahead" in the polls, it seemed likely that he would be president. I explained that while he was ahead in the primary polls, there's still this general election thing that he'd have to get through, and so Hillary Clinton was the favorite. Of course, here in Oz, even while the media reports Clinton's polling advantage, Trump does get a disproportionate share of coverage. I'd assume that that disproportionate coverage is misleading to people who aren't following it closely, who then might conclude that he must be the favorite.
