Democratic Indiana Primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Indiana Primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Indiana Primary results thread (first polls close at 6pm ET)  (Read 27129 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: May 03, 2016, 04:15:27 AM »

Polls in Indiana are open from 6am to 6pm local time.  Since part of the state is in Eastern Time and part is in Central Time, polls close at 6pm ET in most of the state, but 7pm ET in the rest of it.  The networks won’t release the exit poll toplines or call the state until 7pm ET.

At 5pm, the networks will be given access to the early exit poll numbers.  So some time between about 5:10 and 5:30pm or so, we’ll start getting news reports from them about things like what percentage of the voters are Independents, what the top issues on voters’ minds are, etc.  But they’ll withhold the topline numbers (who is winning the exit poll) until all the polls have closed in the state.

CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/in/Dem
NYT: http://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/primaries/indiana


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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1 on: May 03, 2016, 05:25:24 PM »


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Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,066
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« Reply #2 on: May 03, 2016, 06:02:32 PM »

Exit poll toplines (if my math is right):

Sanders 55%
Clinton 45%
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Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,066
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« Reply #3 on: May 03, 2016, 06:04:39 PM »

Exit poll...

Whites:
Sanders 62%
Clinton 38%

Blacks:
Clinton 74%
Sanders 26%
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Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,066
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« Reply #4 on: May 03, 2016, 06:18:03 PM »

Exit poll by area type:

urban area: Sanders +26
suburban area: Clinton +2
rural area: Sanders +6
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #5 on: May 03, 2016, 06:45:01 PM »

Upshot's model currently projects a Clinton win of 2 points:

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/democratic-live-model.html
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Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,066
United States


« Reply #6 on: May 03, 2016, 07:04:57 PM »

Upshot's model now projects a Sanders win of 1 point.
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Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,066
United States


« Reply #7 on: May 04, 2016, 12:14:46 AM »

Predicted this margin on AAD ftr, will now accept accolades

We should give you accolades here for predicting something right on another forum?
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